Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 183.298761 212.649146 246.418710 288.425603 339.664694 400.630903 479.405916
2025-08-10 142.421680 178.621810 224.598912 288.308709 375.968160 494.888607 672.985413
2025-08-17 120.645402 159.601703 212.604866 291.998944 411.560284 591.281835 895.186011
2025-08-24 104.705434 144.231206 200.928867 291.236100 437.575919 677.344454 1128.310970
2025-08-31 93.073845 132.562885 191.763665 291.127461 462.794736 766.730716 1398.156574
2025-09-07 85.112217 124.897521 186.966096 296.283154 496.868605 879.611620 1758.045115
2025-09-14 75.326781 113.008197 173.567737 284.192212 496.840120 927.348605 1999.227714
2025-09-21 69.328988 106.362321 167.710031 284.080441 518.973615 1025.720697 2406.472608
2025-09-28 64.621337 101.235599 163.643637 286.364489 546.110206 1142.968159 2926.914582
2025-10-05 62.916679 100.934234 167.882497 305.146240 612.421044 1374.543090 3933.460547
2025-10-12 61.044469 100.085438 170.937496 322.002892 678.770753 1632.489297 5239.469151
2025-10-19 57.397766 95.652450 166.670625 322.680152 706.750212 1796.405270 6343.183758
2025-10-26 54.352897 92.388901 164.986466 330.467888 759.702613 2074.493811 8334.263933
2025-11-02 50.754595 87.765784 160.137298 330.578441 793.938300 2317.237900 10555.483880
2025-11-09 47.962005 84.374475 157.332200 334.970712 841.998304 2639.024322 13842.446706
2025-11-16 45.024093 80.381310 152.728731 334.068217 874.474873 2925.160253 17566.787493
2025-11-23 42.459803 76.874127 148.722842 333.939597 909.780800 3250.235440 22533.569162
2025-11-30 40.604492 74.623220 147.194252 340.051660 968.258771 3727.323311 30692.505726
2025-12-07 37.520327 69.542799 138.699656 325.724909 951.690153 3830.597869 35131.108188
2025-12-14 35.655611 66.873973 135.464533 325.592585 987.079789 4240.567864 45856.780674
2025-12-21 34.124995 64.782346 133.340387 328.297067 1034.743664 4769.493283 62281.391247
2025-12-28 33.814707 65.303650 137.516111 350.569023 1170.050374 6002.567903 106958.817154
2026-01-04 33.338968 65.409403 140.690244 370.606722 1306.949506 7462.334934 187672.081390